This is going to be a fun game we get to play the rest of the year. Here's a chart of data for cases and hospitalization from the city's data tracker. Please note that hospitalization data includes both confirmed and Person Under Investigation ("PUI"). My thinking is that these people are taking up capacity for illness even if it ends up not being COVID, and that weighs on public health officials' thinking.

As you can see, we aren't where we were when city officials last lifted all mandates. I would argue that this chart suggests the city was a little late to both reopening and re-imposing mandates. How will they react this time?

A simple regression of the last 30 days' progress suggests we will be back at the Original Reopening thresholds by the end of November. I'll revisit this then to see how we are progressing.