David Heinemeier Hansson

January 20, 2025

MEGA

Trump is back at the helm of the United States, and the majority of Americans are optimistic about the prospect. Especially the young. In a poll by CBS News, it's the 18-29 demographic that's most excited, with a whopping two-thirds answering in the affirmative to being optimistic about the next four years under Trump. And I'm right there with them. The current American optimism is infectious!

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While Trump has undoubtedly been the catalyst, this is a bigger shift than any one person. After spending so long lost in the wilderness of excessive self-criticism and self-loathing, there's finally a broad coalition of the willing working to get the mojo back.

This is what's so exhilarating about America. The big, dramatic swings. The high stakes. The long shots. And I like this country much better when it's confident in that inherent national character.

Of course all this is political. And of course Trump is triggering for many. Just like his opponent would have been if she had won. But this moment is not just political, it's beyond that. It's economic, it's entrepreneurial, it's technological. Optimism is infectious.

As someone with a foot on both the American and European continent, I can't help being jealous with my euro leg. Europe is stuck with monumental levels of pessimism at the moment, and it's really sad to see.

But my hope is that Europe, like usual, is merely a few years behind the American revival in optimism. That it's coming to the old world eventually.

This is far more an article of faith than of analysis, mind you. I can also well imagine Europe sticking with Eurocrat thinking, spinning its wheels with grand but empty proclamations, issuing scorning but impotent admonishments of America, and doubling down on the regulatory black hole.

Neither path is given. Europe was competitive with America on many economic terms as recently as 15 years ago. But Europe also lacks the ability to change course quite like the Americans. So the crystal ball is blurry.

Personally, I choose faith. Optimism must win. Pessimism is literally for losers.

About David Heinemeier Hansson

Made Basecamp and HEY for the underdogs as co-owner and CTO of 37signals. Created Ruby on Rails. Wrote REWORK, It Doesn't Have to Be Crazy at Work, and REMOTE. Won at Le Mans as a racing driver. Fought the big tech monopolies as an antitrust advocate. Invested in Danish startups.