Market Quadrant
⦿ Trend: Uptrend under pressure
⦿ Momentum: Positive but worsening
⦿ Breadth: Improving
⦿ Bias: Sideways
⦿ Swing Confidence: 25
⦿ Momentum: Positive but worsening
⦿ Breadth: Improving
⦿ Bias: Sideways
⦿ Swing Confidence: 25
Trend → Uptrend under pressure
⦿ Majority of indices stay in an uptrend under pressure. This now also includes the Auto index, which was still in a confirmed uptrend till last week.
⦿ Consumption, Infra, Power, PSE & PSUbank are some notable indices still in a confirmed uptrend.
⦿ There is still no index in a confirmed downtrend.
Momentum → Positive but worsening
⦿ Majority of the indices have positive but worsening momentum.
⦿ There are no indices with positive & improving momentum.
⦿ Indices with negative & worsening momentum are slowly increasing in number, with the addition of Nifty & Nifty Jr this week.
![image.png](https://world.hey.com/nitinranjan/18335b5a/representations/eyJfcmFpbHMiOnsibWVzc2FnZSI6IkJBaHNLd2NNV0tCUyIsImV4cCI6bnVsbCwicHVyIjoiYmxvYl9pZCJ9fQ==--482baa905f5ea7f65a1104787fc18973951f6506/eyJfcmFpbHMiOnsibWVzc2FnZSI6IkJBaDdDam9MWm05eWJXRjBTU0lJY0c1bkJqb0dSVlE2RkhKbGMybDZaVjkwYjE5c2FXMXBkRnNIYVFLQUIya0NBQVU2REhGMVlXeHBkSGxwU3pvTGJHOWhaR1Z5ZXdZNkNYQmhaMlV3T2cxamIyRnNaWE5qWlZRPSIsImV4cCI6bnVsbCwicHVyIjoidmFyaWF0aW9uIn19--946116ea0c454412635aa7309bd9472bf633014c/image.png)
Swing Confidence → 25
⦿ Both Nifty & Smallcap are in a weekly upswing. On daily charts, while Nifty is in a downswing under strain, Smallcap is in early upswing. Swing Confidence is now 25, which means that the LOST (long-only swing traders) can trade very cautiously with minimum open risk.
⦿ Nifty bounced from just above 19300, & stays stuck in a 1000 point range between 19200 to 20200. Any decisive resolution is beyond a breach of any of thes 2 levels.
⦿ Majority of indices are in a confirmed downswing.
![NIFTY_2023-10-06_19-06-57.png](https://world.hey.com/nitinranjan/18335b5a/representations/eyJfcmFpbHMiOnsibWVzc2FnZSI6IkJBaHNLd2M3ZEtCUyIsImV4cCI6bnVsbCwicHVyIjoiYmxvYl9pZCJ9fQ==--cb27ba0637a72008f203795fc06f71e6ac259cda/eyJfcmFpbHMiOnsibWVzc2FnZSI6IkJBaDdDam9MWm05eWJXRjBTU0lJY0c1bkJqb0dSVlE2RkhKbGMybDZaVjkwYjE5c2FXMXBkRnNIYVFLQUIya0NBQVU2REhGMVlXeHBkSGxwU3pvTGJHOWhaR1Z5ZXdZNkNYQmhaMlV3T2cxamIyRnNaWE5qWlZRPSIsImV4cCI6bnVsbCwicHVyIjoidmFyaWF0aW9uIn19--946116ea0c454412635aa7309bd9472bf633014c/NIFTY_2023-10-06_19-06-57.png)
Breadth → Improving
⦿ % of stocks above 20-day MA stays below 50, but better than last week’s levels.
⦿ As long as % of stocks above 50-day MA are >50%, we are are above the bullish threshold.
⦿ % of stocks above 200-day MA stay comfortably bullish & sustainability 80+ for 5 consecutive weeks now.
⦿ Net breadth stays positive.
![image.png](https://world.hey.com/nitinranjan/18335b5a/representations/eyJfcmFpbHMiOnsibWVzc2FnZSI6IkJBaHNLd2VIZDZCUyIsImV4cCI6bnVsbCwicHVyIjoiYmxvYl9pZCJ9fQ==--8a0be05f7fdae02f0942e052117b4200f19a6f52/eyJfcmFpbHMiOnsibWVzc2FnZSI6IkJBaDdDam9MWm05eWJXRjBTU0lJY0c1bkJqb0dSVlE2RkhKbGMybDZaVjkwYjE5c2FXMXBkRnNIYVFLQUIya0NBQVU2REhGMVlXeHBkSGxwU3pvTGJHOWhaR1Z5ZXdZNkNYQmhaMlV3T2cxamIyRnNaWE5qWlZRPSIsImV4cCI6bnVsbCwicHVyIjoidmFyaWF0aW9uIn19--946116ea0c454412635aa7309bd9472bf633014c/image.png)
Bias → Sideways
Currently, the bias is sideways.
⦿ Nifty has closed above the 50-day MA, but as Nifty is neither above nor below the 50-day MA for 3-consecutive days, the bias is sideways.
⦿ Net New Highs stay positive for 3-consecutive days.
⦿ On a lower timeframe, the 20-day NNH has now turned positive again. With the 52-week NNH already positive, if now the 20-day NNH also stays positive for 3 consecutive days, it can signify a completion of the pullback & resumption of the bullish move.
![image.png](https://world.hey.com/nitinranjan/18335b5a/representations/eyJfcmFpbHMiOnsibWVzc2FnZSI6IkJBaHNLd2R5ZTZCUyIsImV4cCI6bnVsbCwicHVyIjoiYmxvYl9pZCJ9fQ==--00b977ffa108c9a97e3b85ab7f18171e2e9ba167/eyJfcmFpbHMiOnsibWVzc2FnZSI6IkJBaDdDam9MWm05eWJXRjBTU0lJY0c1bkJqb0dSVlE2RkhKbGMybDZaVjkwYjE5c2FXMXBkRnNIYVFLQUIya0NBQVU2REhGMVlXeHBkSGxwU3pvTGJHOWhaR1Z5ZXdZNkNYQmhaMlV3T2cxamIyRnNaWE5qWlZRPSIsImV4cCI6bnVsbCwicHVyIjoidmFyaWF0aW9uIn19--946116ea0c454412635aa7309bd9472bf633014c/image.png)
That’s all for this week. If you'd like to know when I publish something new, just subscribe to my newsletter and you'll get the latest sent direct to you.