Nitin Ranjan

December 8, 2023

MarketQuadrant CW49/2023

Market Quadrant

⦿ Trend: Confirmed Uptrend
⦿ Momentum: Positive & improving
⦿ Breadth: Strong but nearing overbought
⦿ Bias: Positive
⦿ Swing: Confirmed Upswing

Market Quadrant (7).png


Trend → Confirmed Uptrend


⦿ All indices are now in a confirmed uptrend.
⦿ Service index was the last one remaining in a rally attempt last week, & has joined the rest of the indices now.
⦿ There is no index in a confirmed downtrend.

image.png


Momentum Positive & improving


⦿ All of the broad market indices & majority of the sectoral indices have positive & improving momentum.
⦿ FMCG & Media have negative & improving momentum.
⦿ There is no index with worsening momentum.

image.png


Swing  Confirmed Upswing

⦿ Majority of indices are in a confirmed upswing. FMCG & Pharma are in an upswing under strain.
⦿ As both Nifty & Smallcap 100 are in confirmed upswing, Swing Confidence is 100, which means that new or existing positions can be taken with the maximum permissible open risk. But wait...
⦿ Swing Temperature is warm, which means that new swing positions should be avoided or be taken with smaller sizes, & trailing stoplosses be tightened.

Breadth →  Strong but nearing overbought

⦿ Breadth as per moving averages: As % of stocks above both 10-day 20-day, & 50-day MA stay above 50, so we are are above the bullish threshold & the breadth is strong. With the % of stocks above 50-day MA nearing 80, we are nearing an overbought state. The % of stocks above 200-day MA is in the sustainably bullish 80+ range.

⦿ Net breadth as per 4% advance & decline is positive.

⦿ Market breadth volume stays green, in the healthy zone between 0.5 & 1.0.

image.png


Bias → Positive


Currently, the bias is positive.
⦿ Majority of indices have stayed above the 50-day MA for past 3 consecutive days. 
⦿ Net New Highs have stayed positive for past 3 consecutive days.
⦿ On lower timeframes, the 20-day & 65-day NNH are also positive for past 3 consecutive days.

NIFTY_2023-12-08_16-31-54.png

That’s all for this week. If you'd like to know when I publish something new, just subscribe to my newsletter and you'll get the latest sent direct to you.


About Nitin Ranjan

Swing Trader | Growth Investor | Pine Coder