Nitin Ranjan

December 15, 2023

MarketQuadrant CW50/2023

Market Quadrant

⦿ Trend: Confirmed Uptrend

⦿ Momentum: Positive & improving

⦿ Breadth: Strong but nearing overbought

⦿ Bias: Positive

⦿ Swing Confidence: 100


Trend → Confirmed Uptrend


⦿ All indices stay in a confirmed uptrend.

⦿ Absolutely no change in the trend table since last week.

⦿ Not even a single index is in downtrend.

image.png


Momentum → Positive & improving


⦿ All of the broad market indices & majority of the sectoral indices have positive & improving momentum.

⦿ Pharma is the only index with a positive but worsening momentum.

⦿ There is no index with negative momentum.

image.png


Swing  Confirmed Upswing

⦿ Majority of indices are in a confirmed upswing. Only FMCG, Pharma & Consumer Durables are in an upswing under strain.

⦿ As both Nifty & Smallcap 100 are in confirmed upswing, Swing Confidence is 100, which means that the portfolio can stay with the maximum permissible open risk.

⦿ While overall Swing Temperature is cool (which means that new swing positions can be taken), it is still hot in Nifty 50. So a little caution here would be prudent.

NIFTY_2023-12-15_18-14-52.png



Breadth →  Strong but nearing overbought

⦿ Breadth as per moving averages: As % of stocks above both 10-day & 20-day MA stay above 50, so the breadth is strong, with still some space to upmove before getting labelled overbought. With the % of stocks above 50-day MA nearing 80, we are nearing an overbought state. The % of stocks above 200-day MA is in the sustainably bullish 80+ range.

⦿ Net breadth as per 4% advance & decline is positive.

⦿ Market breadth volume stays green, just above the healthy zone between 0.5 & 1.0.

image.png


Bias → Positive

Currently, the bias is positive.

⦿ Majority of indices have stayed above the 50-day MA for past 3 consecutive days. 

⦿ Net New Highs have stayed positive for past 3 consecutive days.

⦿ On lower timeframes, the 20-day & 65-day NNH are also positive for past 3 consecutive days.

NIFTY_2023-12-15_17-54-50.png

That’s all for this week. If you'd like to know when I publish something new, just subscribe to my newsletter and you'll get the latest sent direct to you.


About Nitin Ranjan

Swing Trader | Growth Investor | Pine Coder