Nitin Ranjan

December 29, 2023

MarketQuadrant CW52/2023

Market Quadrant

⦿ Trend: Confirmed Uptrend

⦿ Momentum: Positive & improving

⦿ Breadth: Strong but nearing overbought

⦿ Bias: Positive

⦿ Swing: Confirmed Upswing


Trend → Confirmed Uptrend


⦿ As 4 out of 5 broad indices have moved up, we shift the current status to a confirmed uptrend. Only Microcap 250 index is in an uptrend under pressure.

⦿ All sectoral/thematic indices are also in a confirmed uptrend.

⦿ Not even a single index is in downtrend.

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Momentum → Positive & improving


⦿ Most of the broad market indices & majority of the sectoral indices have positive & improving momentum.

⦿ Microcap & Realty are the only indices with positive but worsening momentum.

⦿ Media is the only index with negative & worsening momentum.

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Swing → Confirmed Upswing

⦿ Majority of indices are in a confirmed upswing. Media is in a confirmed downswing.

⦿ Both Nifty & Smallcap 100 are in a confirmed upswing, Swing Confidence is 100, which means that the portfolio can take the maximum permissible open risk.

⦿ Swing Temperature is warm, which means that new swing positions should be avoided or be taken with smaller sizes, & trailing stoplosses be tightened.

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Breadth →  Strong but nearing overbought

⦿ Breadth as per moving averages: As % of stocks above both 10-day & 20-day MA stay above 50, so the breadth is even stronger than last week. With the % of stocks above 50-day MA approaches 80, we’ll go nearer to an overbought state. The % of stocks above 200-day MA is in the sustainably bullish 80+ range.

⦿ Net breadth as per 4% advance & decline is positive.

⦿ Market breadth volume is now hovering near 0.5.

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Bias → Positive

Currently, the bias is positive.

⦿ Majority of indices have stayed above the 50-day MA for past 3 consecutive days. 
⦿ Net New Highs have stayed positive for past 3 consecutive days.
⦿ On lower timeframes, the 65-day & 20-day NNH are positive for past 3 consecutive days.
⦿ While the indices are moving up, the 52-week NNH are lagging behind.

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About Nitin Ranjan

Swing Trader | Growth Investor | Pine Coder