Nitin Ranjan

January 28, 2022

Weekly Index Check CW04/2022

Overview

Uptrend under pressure. Momentum not only in negative territory but also worsening. 

PSUbank, Auto & Power are only indices still standing strong.

Market breadth worsening on all timeframes.


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Trend

Most major indices are in uptrend under pressure.

⦿ PSUbank, Auto & Power indices are in confirmed uptrend.
⦿ Pharma, FMCG & Consumption are in downtrend.

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Momentum

Major indices (Nifty, CNX500, Midcap & Smallcap) are in negative momentum that is also worsening. 

⦿ Auto & Power indices are improving strength & momentum
⦿ PSUbank is gaining strength, & is at the verge of moving into positive momentum.

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Market Breadth

Market breadth nearing oversold on lower timeframes. Higher timeframes still manage to retain bullish bias.

⦿ 51% → 28% above 20 SMA (nearing oversold)
⦿ 66% → 53% above 50 SMA (buy signal)
⦿ 63% → 55% above 150 SMA (bullish bias)
⦿ 68% → 62% above 200 SMA (bullish bias)

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% of stocks above/below 20& 50MA

The Ratio between stocks above & below 50MA is 1.1, while that for 20MA is 0.5. The 10-day cumulative ratio for stocks above 50MA is also down to 1.35. A value >2 is good for swing trades on the long side.

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20% up/down in 5 days

The number of stocks up 20% in past 5 days is now less than the number of stocks down 20% in past 5 days. A fresh bullish upthrust is awaited.

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Stockbee Market Monitor

On a modified Stockbee market monitor, the 5-day cumulative ratio is 0.4 and the 10-DCR is 0.7. Value more than 2 keeps them green.

Number of stocks up 13% in 34 days stays in green, which shows that the short-term phase continues to be bullish.

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Primary Breadth Ratio

Overall, the market is bullish till the number of stocks up 25% plus in a quarter is more than that down 25% plus in a quarter. The ratio between the two is the primary breadth ratio, which now is 3.8.

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About Nitin Ranjan

Swing Trader | Growth Investor | Pine Coder