Nitin Ranjan

April 8, 2022

Weekly Index Check CW14/2022

Market Quadrant


⦿ Trend: Rally Attempt

⦿ Momentum: Negative but improving

⦿ Breadth: Improving on all timeframes

⦿ Bias: Bullish on both long-term & short-term

Market Quadrant (7).png


Trend


⦿ Most major indices (including Nifty, Midcap, Smallcap, CNX500, Banknifty) are now in rally attempt.

⦿ PSE index joins Power, PSUbank, Media, Commodities, Energy & Metal as confirmed uptrend indices

⦿ No index in outright downtrend

Momentum


⦿ PSE, FMCG, Media & Power join Commodities, Metal, Energy & Pharma as indices with positive & improving momentum

⦿ All other indices have negative but improving momentum, & most are on the verge of entering positive momentum territory

⦿ No index with worsening momentum


Market breadth



Market breadth improving on all timeframes. Higher timeframes now back to bullish bias, while lower timeframes overbought.

⦿ 70% → 87% above 20 MA (overbought)

⦿ 46% → 76% above 50 MA (fresh buy signal)

⦿ 44% → 58% above 150 MA (bullish bias)

⦿ 47% → 58% above 200 MA (bullish bias)


% of stocks above/below 20& 50MA


The Ratio between stocks above & below 50MA is 4, while that for 20MA is 9.7. The 10-day cumulative ratio for stocks above 50MA is 1. A value >2 is good for swing trades on the long side.


4% up/down in 1 day


The 10-day cumulative ratio between stocks up & down 4% in a day stays in the green (>2), signalling that short-term trading oppurtunites are there.

When market is in bearish phase, a fresh bull move starts when 10-DCR first time above 2.


Stockbee Market Monitor


On a modified Stockbee market monitor, both the short-term indicator of 13% up in 34 days & the long-term metric of stocks 25% plus quarter are now green.

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Primary breadth ratio


Overall, the market is bullish, as the number of stocks up 25% plus in a quarter is now greater than that down 25% plus in a quarter. The ratio between the two is the primary breadth ratio, which is now 4.3.

That’s all for this week. If you'd like to know when I publish something new, just subscribe to my newsletter and you'll get the latest sent direct to you.



About Nitin Ranjan

Swing Trader | Growth Investor | Pine Coder