Nitin Ranjan

January 7, 2023

WeeklyIndexCheck CW01/2023

Market Quadrant

⦿ Trend: Uptrend under pressure
⦿ Momentum: Negative & Worsening
⦿ Breadth: Worsening
⦿ Bias: Bullish
⦿ Swing Confidence: 0

Market Quadrant (10).png



Trend

⦿ Most indices stay in uptrend under pressure.
⦿ Smallcap, IT & Pharma stay in a confirmed downtrend.
⦿ Metal is the only index in a confirmed uptrend.

Momentum

⦿ PSE & Oil-&-Gas indices have positive & improving momentum.
⦿ Almost all major indices have negative & worsening momentum.
⦿ PSUbank & Smallcap still have positive but worsening momentum.

image.png


Swing

⦿ Both Nifty & Smallcap are now in a confirmed downswing. Both indices are still in a weekly upswing.
⦿ Swing Confidence is 0. Long-only swing traders would be in all-cash now.
⦿ Majority of indices are in downswings. Metals are in confirmed upswing.

Breadth

⦿ Market breadth worsens from last week.
⦿ Intermediate timeframes still to give a buy signal.
⦿ Higher timeframes barely bullish.

image.png


Bias

Difference between new 52-week highs & lows gives us Net New Highs.

⦿  Three consecutive positive days of net 52-week highs give us a positive bias towards the market, which is then considered favourable to trading. Conversely, 3 consecutive negative days of net 52-week highs give us a negative bias towards the market, which is then considered unfavourable to trading.
⦿  The daily bias should confirm with the latest weekly net highs. 
⦿  If either of the above 2 conditions are not satisfied, the bias is termed as being sideways.

Currently, the bias is bullish.


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About Nitin Ranjan

Swing Trader | Growth Investor | Pine Coder