⦿ Trend: Rally Attempt ⦿ Momentum: Short-term positive & improving, long-term negative but improving ⦿ Breadth: Lower timeframes neutral, higher still bearish ⦿ Bias: Bullish on all timeframes ⦿ Swing Confidence: 100 (Confirmed Upswing)
Trend
⦿ Major indices (Nifty, CNX500, Midcap, Smallcap & Banknifty) are in a rally attempt. ⦿ Finance & Banking indices are very close to entering a confirmed uptrend ⦿ No index in confirmed downtrend.
Momentum
⦿ After 35 consecutive weeks of negative momentum, Nifty & Smallcap indices now have positive & improving momentum. ⦿ Most other major indices (NiftyJr, BankNifty, CNX500 & Midcap) now have positive & improving momentum. ⦿ Long-term momentum will still take time to turn positive. ⦿ No index now has negative & worsening momentum.
Swing
⦿ Both Nifty & Smallcap are in a Confirmed Upswing. ⦿ Swing Confidence now is 100. Long-only swing traders can take fresh trades with a 1% CAR. ⦿ All indices are in a Confirmed upswing. ⦿ Amongst the major indices, Smallcap index seems to be lagging behind Midcap & Nifty.
Breadth
⦿ Market breadth further improving & now neutral on lower timeframes. ⦿ Intermediate timeframes have given a fresh buy signal & are still not overbought. This indicates more room for upside in the near-term. ⦿ Higher timeframes also improving, but still in bearish territory.
Bias
On a modified Stockbee market monitor, the short-term indicator of 13% up in 34 days stays positive for 4th consecutive week. The long-term metric of stocks 25% plus in a quarter stays positive for 2nd concesuctive weeks now. The intermediate 25% plus in a month stays positive for 3rd consecutive week.
Overall, the market is now bullish for the second consecutive week, as the number of stocks up 25% plus in a quarterstays greater than that down 25% plus in a quarter. The ratio between the two is the primary breadth ratio, which is now 2.6.
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