Nitin Ranjan

August 19, 2022

WeeklyIndexCheck CW33/2022

Market Quadrant

⦿ Trend: Confirmed Uptrend
⦿ Momentum: Short-term positive & improving, long-term negative but improving
⦿ Breadth: Higher timeframes about to turn bullish
⦿ Bias: Bullish
⦿ Swing Confidence: 25 (Upswing under strain)

Market Quadrant (17).png


Trend

⦿ Major indices (Nifty, CNX500, Midcap, NiftyJR & Banknifty) stay in a confirmed uptrend.
⦿ Smallcap index is yet to enter a confirmed uptrend.
⦿ No index in confirmed downtrend.

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Momentum

⦿ Almost all indices (including Nifty, Smallcap, NiftyJr, BankNifty, CNX500 & Midcap) have positive & improving momentum.
⦿ Long-term momentum will still take time to turn positive.
⦿ Auto & FMCG indices have positive but worsening momentum.
⦿ No index now has negative & worsening momentum.

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Swing

⦿ Both Nifty & Smallcap are in an Upswing under strain.
⦿ Swing Confidence is now 25. Long-only swing traders can take fresh trades with a 0.25% CAR.
⦿ Most indices are in a Confirmed upswing, but some are showing some strain.
⦿ FMCG, PSUbank, Pharma & Media are in an early downswing.

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Breadth

⦿ Market breadth stays healthy & neutral on lower timeframes.
⦿ Intermediate timeframes are nearing overbought levels.
⦿ Higher timeframes about to turn bullish.

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Bias

On a modified Stockbee market monitor, the short-term indicator of 13% up in 34 days stays positive for 7th consecutive week. The long-term metric of stocks 25% plus in a quarter stays positive for 5 consecutive weeks now. The intermediate 25% plus in a month stays positive for 6th consecutive week.
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Overall, the market is now bullish for the 5th consecutive week, as the number of stocks up 25% plus in a quarter stays greater than that down 25% plus in a quarter. The ratio between the two is the primary breadth ratio, which is now 12.4. These levels were last seen in January 2022.

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About Nitin Ranjan

Swing Trader | Growth Investor | Pine Coder