⦿ Trend: Uptrend under pressure ⦿ Momentum: Positive but worsening ⦿ Breadth: Worsening ⦿ Bias: Bullish ⦿ Swing Confidence: 0
Trend
⦿ Most indices are now in uptrend under pressure. ⦿ IT, Pharma, Energy & PSE are in a confirmed downtrend. ⦿ While financials are still in a confirmed uptrend, they are on the verge of going into uptrend under pressure.
Momentum
⦿ Most indices now have positive but worsening momentum. ⦿ Only FMCG & Pharma still have positive but improving momentum. ⦿ Long-term momentum will still take time to turn positive. ⦿ Only IT index has negative & worsening momentum.
Swing
⦿ Nifty is in a Confirmed Downswing, while Smallcap is in Early Downswing. Both indices are in a weekly upswing. ⦿ Swing Confidence is now 0. Long-only swing traders should stay on the sidelines, & wait for better conditions. ⦿ Other than FMCG & Pharma, most indices are in either Early or Confirmed Downswing.
Breadth
⦿ Market breadth is now worsening on both lower & intermediate timeframes. ⦿ Higher timeframes stay bullish.
Bias
⦿ On a modified Stockbee market monitor, the short-term indicator of 13% up in 34 days stays positive for 12th consecutive week.
⦿ The long-term metric of stocks 25% plus in a quarter stays positive for 10 consecutive weeks now.
⦿ The intermediate 25% plus in a month stays positive for 11th consecutive week.
Overall, the market is bullish for the 10th consecutive week, as the number of stocks up 25% plus in a quarter stays greater than that down 25% plus in a quarter. The ratio between the two is the primary breadth ratio, which is now down to 13.
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