Nitin Ranjan

October 7, 2022

WeeklyIndexCheck CW40/2022

Market Quadrant

⦿ Trend: Uptrend under pressure
⦿ Momentum: Short-term positive but worsening
⦿ Breadth: Improving
⦿ Bias: Bullish
⦿ Swing Confidence: 25

Trend

⦿ Most indices are in an uptrend under pressure. FMCG is in a confirmed uptrend.
⦿ IT, Media, Energy & PSE are in a confirmed downtrend.
⦿ Pharma is in a rally attempt.

image.png


Momentum

⦿ Most indices have positive but worsening momentum.
⦿ Pharma, IT & Media have positive & improving momentum.
⦿ Auto, Power & Energy have negative & worsening momentum.

Swing

⦿ Smallcap index in an Early Upswing, while Nifty is in Downswing under strain. Both indices are in a weekly upswing.
⦿ Swing Confidence is now 25. Long-only swing traders should be taking selective fresh trades now.
⦿ Pharma, IT, Media & MNC are the only indices in a confirmed upswing. All other indices are in Downswing under strain.

image.png


Breadth

⦿ Market breadth improving on all timeframes.
⦿ Intermediate timeframes giving a fresh buy signal.
⦿ Higher timeframes are back to being bullish.

image.png


Bias

⦿ On a modified Stockbee market monitor, after staying negative for just 1 week, the short-term indicator of 13% up in 34 days now turns positive. 
⦿ The intermediate 25% plus in a month stays positive for 13th consecutive week.
⦿ The long-term metric of stocks 25% plus in a quarter stays positive for 12 consecutive weeks now.

image.png

Overall, the market is bullish for 12th consecutive week, as the number of stocks up 25% plus in a quarter stays greater than that down 25% plus in a quarter. The ratio between the two is the primary breadth ratio, which is now 11.7.

image.png



That’s all for this week. If you'd like to know when I publish something new, just subscribe to my newsletter and you'll get the latest sent direct to you.



About Nitin Ranjan

Swing Trader | Growth Investor | Pine Coder