Nitin Ranjan

November 11, 2022

WeeklyIndexCheck CW45/2022

Market Quadrant

⦿ Trend: Confirmed Uptrend
⦿ Momentum: Positive & improving
⦿ Breadth: Marginally worse
⦿ Bias: Bullish
⦿ Swing Confidence: 75

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Trend

⦿ Most indices are in a confirmed uptrend.
⦿ Among major indices, Smallcap & NiftyJr are still in uptrend under pressure.
⦿ Media & Pharma are in a confirmed downtrend.
⦿ IT & Energy are in a rally attempt.

Momentum

⦿ Most major indices (including Nifty, NiftyJr, Banknifty & CNX500) have positive & improving momentum.
⦿ Smallcap & Midcap still have positive but worsening momentum.
⦿ Consumption, Auto & FMCG have negative & worsening momentum.
⦿ Long-term momentum will still take time to turn positive.

Swing

⦿ Nifty is in Confirmed Upswing, while Smallcap is in upswing under strain. Both indices are in a weekly upswing.
⦿ Swing Confidence is 75. Long-only swing traders would be 75% invested, with 25% in cash.
⦿ Most indices are either in a confirmed upswing, or upswing under strain.

Breadth

⦿ Market breadth marginally worse on all timeframes.
⦿ Intermediate timeframes yet to give a fresh buy signal.
⦿ Higher timeframes stay bullish.

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Bias

⦿ On a modified Stockbee market monitor, the short-term indicator of 13% up in 34 days stays positive for 2nd consecutive week.
⦿ The intermediate 25% plus in a month stays positive for 18th consecutive week.
⦿ The long-term metric of stocks 25% plus in a quarter stays positive for 17 consecutive weeks now. 

Overall, the market is bullish for 17th consecutive week, as the number of stocks up 25% plus in a quarter stays greater than that down 25% plus in a quarter. The ratio between the two is the primary breadth ratio, which is now 3.5.

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About Nitin Ranjan

Swing Trader | Growth Investor | Pine Coder