Nitin Ranjan

November 18, 2022

WeeklyIndexCheck CW46/2022

Market Quadrant

⦿ Trend: Confirmed Uptrend
⦿ Momentum: Positive but worsening
⦿ Breadth: Worsening
⦿ Bias: Bullish
⦿ Swing Confidence: 25

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Trend

⦿ Most indices are in a confirmed uptrend.
⦿ Among major indices, Smallcap & NiftyJr are still in uptrend under pressure.
⦿ Media & Pharma are in a confirmed downtrend.
⦿ Auto & Consumption move down into uptrend under pressure.

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Momentum

⦿ Most major indices (including Smallcap, Midcap & CNX500) have positive but worsening momentum.
⦿ Nifty & Banknifty still have positive & improving momentum.
⦿ Auto, FMCG Energy, Media & Power have negative & worsening momentum.
⦿ Long-term momentum will still take time to turn positive.

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Swing

⦿ Nifty is in upswing under strain, while Smallcap is in early downswing. Both indices are in a weekly upswing.
⦿ Swing Confidence is 25. Long-only swing traders would be 25% invested, with 75% in cash.
⦿ Most indices are in or near an early downswing. Financials are still in confirmed upswing.

Breadth

⦿ Market breadth worsening on all timeframes. 
⦿ Intermediate timeframes, instead of giving a fresh buy signal, are retreating down.
⦿ Higher timeframes turning bearish.

Bias

⦿ On a modified Stockbee market monitor, the short-term indicator of 13% up in 34 days stays positive for 3rd consecutive week.
⦿ The intermediate 25% plus in a month stays positive for 19th consecutive week.
⦿ The long-term metric of stocks 25% plus in a quarter stays positive for 18 consecutive weeks now.

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Overall, the market is bullish for 18th consecutive week, as the number of stocks up 25% plus in a quarter stays greater than that down 25% plus in a quarter. The ratio between the two is the primary breadth ratio, which is now 2.5, down from last week.

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About Nitin Ranjan

Swing Trader | Growth Investor | Pine Coder