Nitin Ranjan

December 30, 2022

WeeklyIndexCheck CW52/2022

Market Quadrant


⦿ Trend: Uptrend under pressure
⦿ Momentum: Negative & Worsening
⦿ Breadth: Weak but strengthening
⦿ Bias: Bullish
⦿ Swing Confidence: 25

Trend

⦿ Most indices stay in uptrend under pressure.
⦿ Smallcap, IT & Pharma stay in a confirmed downtrend.
⦿ No index in a confirmed uptrend.

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Momentum

⦿ Metal & Oil-&-Gas indices have positive & improving momentum.
⦿ Among major indices, Nifty, NiftyJR, CNX500, & Midcap have negative & worsening momentum.
⦿ Banknifty & Smallcap still have positive but worsening momentum.

Swing

⦿ Both Nifty & Smallcap are now in Downswing under strain. Both indices are in a weekly upswing.
⦿ Swing Confidence is 25. Long-only swing traders should now be trading with 1/4 position size.
⦿ Majority of indices are in a downswing under strain. Metals are in early upswing.

Breadth

⦿ Market breadth trying to regain strength on all timeframes.
⦿ Intermediate timeframes still to give a fresh buy signal.
⦿ Higher timeframes are now bullish.

Bias

⦿ On a modified Stockbee market monitor, the short-term indicator of 13% up in 34 days turns positive after only 1 negative week.
⦿ The intermediate 25% plus in a month is again positive after a neutral week & 23 positive weeks.
⦿ The long-term metric of stocks 25% plus in a quarter turns positive after only 1 negative week.

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Overall, the market turns bullish after only 1 negative week, as the number of stocks up 25% plus in a quarter are again greater than that down 25% plus in a quarter. The ratio between the two is the primary breadth ratio, which is now 3.74, which is much better than last week.

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About Nitin Ranjan

Swing Trader | Growth Investor | Pine Coder