Nitin Ranjan

January 26, 2022

What are stage-2 stocks?

In this post, we take a look at how to identify stage-2 stocks, & why is it important to take any stock off your watchlist that is not in stage 2.

01.jpeg

The four stages


Stan Weinstein, in his book “Secrets For Profiting in Bull & Bear Markets” outlined the principle of 4 stages that every stock goes through:

Stage 1 - basing: Consolidation
Stage 2 - advancing: Accumulation
Stage 3 - topping: Distribution
Stage 4 - declining: Capitulation

02.jpeg

As the stock advances from stage-1 to stage-2, price breaks out above its 30-week moving average (MA) on impressive volumes. The 30-week MA starts turning up shortly after the breakout, & the price stays above the 30-week MA.

03.jpeg



The 3 moving averages


In his book “Trade Like a Stock Market Wizard”, Mark Minervini further improved this by adding that the 10-week MA should be above the 30-week & 40-week moving averages, & the 40-week MA should be rising for at least a month.

04.jpeg


On my weekly charts, I just display the 10-week & 30-week moving averages, & prefer the 30-week MA also to be rising for at least a month. Obviously, the 40-week MA should also be in its place.

05.jpeg


Entry


The ideal scenario is to buy stocks when they are coming out of the first stage into the second stage & beginning to move higher. The majority of gains that a stock will make is while it is in a stage-2 uptrend.


06.jpeg



Exit


When your stock is in any stage other than stage-2, you are either losing money or losing time. So, before you initiate a position in any stock, make sure that your stock be in stage-2. Keep this non-negotiable, & with proper risk management, you'll be successful.

07.jpeg


That’s all for this post. If you'd like to know when I publish something new, just subscribe to my newsletter and you'll get the latest sent direct to you.

About Nitin Ranjan

Swing Trader | Growth Investor | Pine Coder