Jan Zilinsky

January 19, 2025

Psychological theories (stories) should be tested

A recurring - and tiring - set of arguments goes like this: fundamental economic concerns that affect people's daily lives and livelihoods - things like jobs, wages, cost of living, and basic economic security - matter to people a lot. So, if a political party or a candidate suffers an electoral loss, it must be because they neglected ...
Read more
December 16, 2024

Trump's political persona: Insider-turned-whistleblower

In wrestling, the outcomes of “fights” are predetermined. But the physical demands and skills are very real - wrestlers need genuine strength, focus, and timing to perform convincingly. Similarly, Donald Trump’s wealth and business experience were real elements that formed the foundation of his public image, but they have been heavily ...
Read more
December 9, 2024

"I'll ban TikTok but can I first use it for my campaign?"

According to recent reports, the Trump cabinet will include both anti-TikTok and pro-TikTok people. Some Republicans are expressing absolutist, pro-ban positions but others, like Marco Rubio (who has been bashing TikTok for a while) say they will defer to Trump. Some politicians, unsurprisingly, can't resist deploying some classic para...
Read more
December 6, 2024

"A nice productive asset you have here. It would be a shame if you didn't sell it"

TikTok will probably either have to be sold to a US owner or shut down in less than two months. https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2024/dec/06/tiktok-sale-ban-us Governments have legitimate interests in protecting data security and addressing potential foreign influence, so it's ok to use legislative or regulatory channels with sta...
Read more
November 28, 2024

"We are unhappy because we have what we want"

"[W]hy are people who are already free, and who are by any relative measure materially and politically better off than those in more repressive states, attacking their own systems of government?" Tom Nichols offers a punchy answer: We are unhappy because we have what we want. (This is meant to apply to those of us who live in Western d...
Read more
November 26, 2024

Filter Bubbles or Outrage Machines - can you please pick one?

Mehdi Hasan just posted a viral tweet arguing that the relentless messaging from Elon Musk, especially his attacks on the media, has a significant impact on public trust and election outcomes. The claim is that people like Musk and Trump have created a self-reinforcing echo chamber around their followers: people only hear what they wan...
Read more
November 21, 2024

Americans (won't say): Democracy is not actually on the ballot

One observation from me about the election: People didn’t believe that “democracy was on the ballot” or that the “future of the republic was at stake”. One piece of evidence is that turnout fell in 40+ states. Sure, you can show me that voters told pollsters they "cared about democracy". But the "future of democracy" was a bi-partisan ...
Read more
November 17, 2024

List of tools (2024)

## Writing and note taking - Craft. An underrated app for writing and outlining. - Bear. Now some of my longer notes live elsewhere, but Bear continues to be my repository for quick notes, and I keep happily paying for this fast & wonderful app. - Sublime Text. Especially for brief code snippets or just making ascii files. - Ulysses. -...
Read more